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US Treasury Monitor

Treasury yield snapshot

Treasury yield trends

Monthly closing yields by tenor
US Treasury yield history.

Federal debt overview

Total federal debt ($T) — FY2006 to FY2026
From $8.5T pre-GFC to $40T+ today — a near 5x increase in 20 years
Total US federal debt history FY2006-FY2026.
Debt-to-GDP ratio — FY2006 to FY2026
GFC pushed debt/GDP from 62% to 100%. COVID pushed it past 125%. It has never come back down.
US debt-to-GDP ratio FY2006-FY2026.

The interest burden

Annual net interest expense ($B) — FY2006 to FY2026
Interest fell during ZIRP despite surging debt. Now rates have normalised, the true cost of that debt is being revealed.
Annual interest expense trend FY2006-FY2026.

Deficit and revenue

Annual federal deficit ($T) — FY2006 to FY2026
GFC peak: $1.4T (FY2009). COVID peak: $3.1T (FY2020). The deficit never returns to pre-crisis norms.
Annual federal deficit FY2006-FY2026.
Interest as % of revenue — FY2006 to FY2026
The share of tax revenue consumed by interest payments. Now approaching 1 in 5 dollars collected.
Interest as share of revenue FY2006-FY2026.

Annual fiscal metrics

FY Debt ($T) Debt/GDP Deficit ($T) Revenue ($T) Interest ($B) Int/Rev Avg rate